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Northern Lights Forecast

Northern Lights Tonight in Churchill, Manitoba, Canada

Live visibility odds for Churchill, combining the current geomagnetic Kp index with real local cloud cover, not just one or the other.

Tonight's chance of seeing aurora
72%
Naked-eye possible
LocationChurchill, Manitoba, Canada
Geomagnetic Forecast · NOAA / NASA
Magnetic latitude67.2°
Confirmed Kp right nowKp 1.7
Weather Forecast · Open-Meteo
Clear-sky estimate93% clear skies
For entertainment purposes only, not a guarantee of visibility. Don't plan travel or spending around this number alone.

What Kp do you need in Churchill?

Naked eye
Kp 0
Most clear nights of the year
Camera, long exposure
Kp 0
Most clear nights of the year
Magnetic latitude
67.2°
Not the same as the 58.8° on a map — this is what actually decides it

Those frequencies are how often the geomagnetic threshold itself is reached, before weather. Cloud cover, moonlight and local light pollution all cut into it, which is why the live score at the top of this page multiplies the geomagnetic odds by tonight's actual sky over Churchill.

Which way to look from Churchill

At this magnetic latitude the aurora can appear overhead or even to the south of you during an active night, so a view in every direction is worth having.

About aurora viewing in Churchill

Churchill is famous for polar bears, but it's equally well regarded among aurora chasers, sitting on the shore of Hudson Bay directly under the auroral oval with essentially no light pollution for hundreds of miles.

Where locals actually go

The tundra surrounding Churchill offers open sky in every direction; several tour operators run dedicated aurora viewing domes and lodges specifically for this.

Best time of year

Churchill offers aurora viewing nearly year-round on clear nights, though most visitors come in winter when nights are longest.

Will I see the aurora in Churchill tonight?

Right now, Churchill has a 72% chance based on tonight's real conditions: Kp 1.7 and 93% clear skies. Naked-eye possible. This updates live, so check back closer to dark for the most accurate read, especially if the sky is currently cloudy where you are.

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A good Kp forecast isn't the whole story. See what else actually determines whether you'll see it →

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